Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-04-06 22:46 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 49.21%2.03odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.787%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.21%49.20%50.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.941.952.0052.63%51.46%51.28%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 50.79%1.97odd justa
EV -0.457%
Vantagem -0.233%
Kelly -0.476%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.74%50.79%50.80%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.871.9655.56%53.42%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 49.21%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 50.79%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.96, com valor esperado de -0.457%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.57%E -0.787%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 03:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.57%E -0.787%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.58%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 10:04
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.07%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.98%E -1.03%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:20
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.56%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.47%E -0.759%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.56%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.56%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.52%E -2.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 20:45
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.47%E -0.759%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-06 22:45
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.47%E -0.759%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-06 22:45
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.47%E -0.759%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-06 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 10:10
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.00%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 22:44
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 19:15
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:29
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 10:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:19
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:15
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:15
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:20
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.53%E -2.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.457%E -0.233%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-06 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.53%E -2.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 10:30
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.53%E -2.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 10:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 19:09
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.53%E -2.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.53%E -2.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.52%E -2.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 19:09
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.52%E -2.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.55%E -3.56%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 17:45
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:45
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 22:44
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 20:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 22:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-04-06 22:45
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-06 22:45
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-04-06 21:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-04-06 22:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-04-06 22:45
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-04-06 22:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-06 22:45
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%2.6%2026-04-06 22:45