La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-06-13 20:05 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 8–3 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 51.88%1.93quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.40%51.80%51.97%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.851.851.8955.56%54.15%54.05%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.12%2.08quota equa
EV -0.882%
Vantaggio -0.428%
Kelly -0.832%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.20%48.03%49.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.981.982.0652.63%50.56%50.51%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.84%E -0.904%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 19:40
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.21%E -2.65%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-13 18:10
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.84%E -0.904%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-13 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 18:10
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.36%E -0.665%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:30
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.36%E -0.665%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 18:50
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.36%E -0.665%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 17:50
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-13 17:31
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 18:11
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 17:30
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:11
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:10
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:10
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:11
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:09
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.98%E -1.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 17:30
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.882%E -0.428%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.36%E -0.665%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 18:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.36%E -0.665%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 18:50
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.25%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:11
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 18:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 18:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 18:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 18:50
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 18:10
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.01%E -2.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 18:10
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.25%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 19:39
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 20:00
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.21%E -2.65%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.53%E -2.46%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 17:31
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 13:50
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 14:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 13:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 13:50
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 17:40
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 17:40
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 19:50
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 13:51
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 17:31
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 18:11
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.57%E -3.06%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.25%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.57%E -3.06%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 14:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 14:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 14:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 14:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 19:58
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 19:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-06-13 20:01
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-06-13 20:00
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-06-13 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-13 20:01
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-13 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-13 20:01
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-06-13 19:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-13 16:01
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-06-13 20:01