مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v San Francisco Giants

البداية: 2026-04-19 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–0 San Francisco Giants

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.95%2.28السعر العادل
EV +0.654%
الأفضلية +0.285%
Kelly +0.507%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.31%43.96%43.98%45.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.182.192.2948.78%45.92%45.66%43.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.05%1.78السعر العادل
EV -0.798%
الأفضلية -0.451%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.83%56.04%56.02%57.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.84%58.82%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +0.654%E +0.285%K +0.507%G +0.003%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-19 17:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.665%E -0.294%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.665%E -0.294%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 17:35
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.10%E -0.491%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 17:30
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.10%E -0.491%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.98%E -0.890%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.98%E -0.890%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 17:30
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.42%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.36%E -0.772%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 17:10
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.42%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.92%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.798%E -0.451%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 17:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 17:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.13%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.13%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 14:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:30
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:30
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.36%E -0.772%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 17:30
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 17:35
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.18%E -1.92%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 17:35
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.18%E -1.92%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.28%E -3.13%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:30
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.62%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:31
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.06%E -2.34%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.04%E -1.76%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:25
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.92%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 17:00
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 15:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:34
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:34
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:34
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:34
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.28%E -3.13%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:35
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 17:35
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 17:35
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.94%E -2.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:00
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:05
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.04%E -1.76%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 17:05
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 17:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 17:25
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-04-19 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-19 17:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-04-19 17:35
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-04-19 17:34
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-04-19 17:35
Novig2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%3.1%2026-04-19 17:35
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%6.7%2026-04-19 17:35