La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-05-20 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 8–4 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 46.69%2.14momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.479%
Kelly -0.906%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%46.69%46.75%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.95%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 53.31%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.745%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.31%53.25%54.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.69%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.01%E -0.479%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 14:09
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.48%E -0.702%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 22:40
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 20:30
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 20:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 22:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 11:49
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.38%E -0.745%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-20 21:40
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 22:00
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 20:30
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 20:30
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.35%E -1.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 20:50
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.35%E -1.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.18%E -3.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 20:30
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:38
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 00:09
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 10:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 05:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 01:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 20:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 01:49
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 02:39
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 11:49
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 00:29
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 00:29
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:50
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.18%E -3.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:09
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 00:29
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 00:29
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 00:29
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 20:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 20:30
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 22:39
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 20:30
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 20:30
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 20:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 20:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 20:30
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:10
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 20:39
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 20:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 02:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 03:19
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 01:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 22:39
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 20:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.31%E -4.83%K -11.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 01:39
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%-0.1%2026-05-20 22:40
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-20 22:40
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-05-20 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-20 22:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-20 20:20
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-20 20:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-05-20 22:40