Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-05-01 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 1–6 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 41.22%2.43odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.446%
Kelly -0.765%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.26%41.27%41.29%42.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.322.302.4045.45%43.17%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 58.78%1.70odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%58.73%58.71%59.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.621.6764.52%61.43%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 41.22%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 58.78%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.43. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.40, com valor esperado de -1.07%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.07%E -0.446%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 22:44
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.89%E -0.796%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-01 22:00
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.89%E -0.796%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-01 20:19
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.31%E -0.973%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 14:14
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.31%E -0.973%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.37%E -3.33%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 22:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.31%E -0.973%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.37%E -3.33%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.31%E -0.973%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.37%E -3.33%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.72%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.72%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 14:14
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.72%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.43%E -1.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-01 22:44
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 20:49
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 20:14
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.33%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 20:13
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.13%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.33%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.60%E -2.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.60%E -2.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.60%E -2.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 21:59
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.96%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.37%E -3.33%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.60%E -2.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 20:49
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.78%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.37%E -3.33%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 00:04
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 14:25
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 20:24
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:59
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 00:04
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 00:03
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:44
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 00:04
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 22:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 14:54
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.89%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 22:38
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.60%E -2.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:40
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.25%E -3.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.60%E -2.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:44
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.25%E -3.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:44
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.25%E -3.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 20:18
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.31%E -4.23%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.78%E -2.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%-0.0%2026-05-01 22:44
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-01 22:35
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12%0.7%2026-05-01 22:39
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-01 20:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-01 22:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-01 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-01 22:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-05-01 22:45
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-05-01 20:05
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-01 22:44