La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 20:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 1–4 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 46.05%2.17momio equitativo
EV -0.533%
Ventaja -0.247%
Kelly -0.460%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.10%45.95%48.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.082.102.1651.81%48.07%47.62%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.95%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.47%53.90%54.05%55.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.85%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.533%E -0.247%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 17:24
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 18:14
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 19:50
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 18:15
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 06:50
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.994%E -0.462%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:25
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:25
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:25
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.45%E -0.680%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 22:09
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.91%E -0.899%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.81%E -0.994%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 19:50
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.27%E -0.694%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 19:40
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 19:25
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:29
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 19:25
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 19:40
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 17:25
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 14:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 08:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 20:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 20:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 20:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 19:25
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 19:55
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:30
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 18:45
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 18:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 19:25
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 19:38
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 19:25
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 19:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 18:45
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 18:45
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 20:05
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 20:05
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 20:05
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 19:40
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:40
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:05
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -6.52%E -3.21%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 20:05
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 19:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.74%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 20:05
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -11.12%E -5.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -1.81%E -0.994%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%-0.1%2026-05-02 20:04
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-02 20:05
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-02 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-02 20:05
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-02 03:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-02 19:50
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%3.1%2026-05-02 20:05