L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 20:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 27.92%3.58cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +0.522%
Kelly +0.719%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.11%27.99%27.98%29.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.433.423.6530.77%29.14%29.24%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.08%1.39cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -5.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.65%72.01%72.02%73.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.321.321.3677.52%75.60%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +1.90%E +0.522%K +0.719%G +0.014%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 14:55
Pinnacle3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV +0.788%E +0.218%K +0.302%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 20:00
BetOnline.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.61%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.39%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 16:34
LowVig.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.61%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.39%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 16:34
BetUS3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 17:54
MyBookie.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 20:03
theScore Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -1.72%E -0.490%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 18:10
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 19:49
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:05
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:04
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 20:04
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 20:04
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 20:04
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 20:04
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -2.84%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -1.97%E -1.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 17:00
DraftKings3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -2.84%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:39
GTbets3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -3.12%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:34
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 20:05
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:54
SportsBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.52%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 08:09
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.52%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:44
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 18:45
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 12:54
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 13:27
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 13:50
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 13:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 13:28
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:29
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.85%E -3.68%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:29
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:40
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:50
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Dabble (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:44
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:54
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:54
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -7.31%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:54
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 13:29
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 06:30
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 20:04
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 17:39
NordicBet3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:44
Betsson3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:45
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.69%E -1.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:45
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.13%E -3.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 20:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-04-04 20:00
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-04 20:00
Polymarket3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-04 19:50
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-04-04 18:14
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-04-04 19:50
BetOpenly3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%4.3%2026-04-04 19:49