A Escola das Odds

Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Início: 2026-04-05 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 39.03%2.56odd justa
EV +1.49%
Vantagem +0.573%
Kelly +0.930%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.74%39.07%39.05%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.472.452.6045.45%40.43%40.82%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Previsão 60.97%1.64odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.51%60.93%60.95%63.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.551.561.6166.67%64.56%64.10%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +1.49%E +0.573%K +0.930%G +0.014%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:05
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:04
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:05
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:05
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:05
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.94%E -5.26%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:04
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.463%E -0.182%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:05
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.02%E -0.807%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 19:40
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.02%E -0.807%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.45%E -1.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 17:00
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.41%E -0.966%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.45%E -1.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.41%E -0.966%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.45%E -1.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 17:00
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.41%E -0.966%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.89%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 19:39
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.45%E -1.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 17:00
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.98%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.89%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:40
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.06%E -1.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.67%E -2.33%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:25
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:24
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 17:15
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.89%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.89%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 17:04
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:39
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:39
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:39
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:39
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.76%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.67%E -2.33%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 15:10
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.15%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.89%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:09
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.54%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 17:39
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.50%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 17:15
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.72%E -4.39%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 15:10
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.28%E -2.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:34
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.22%E -4.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.45%E -1.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:34
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -14.13%E -6.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -4.89%E -3.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 19:33
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Novig2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34%0.6%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-04-05 19:40
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-05 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-05 19:40