Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-04-03 17:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 29.26%3.42momio equitativo
EV +0.954%
Ventaja +0.277%
Kelly +0.389%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.67%29.39%29.18%31.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.203.4532.26%30.97%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 70.74%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.967%
Ventaja -0.691%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.89%70.61%70.82%72.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.87%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Nationals (Local): 29.26%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 70.74%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.42. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.954%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.954%E +0.277%K +0.389%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 16:30
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV +0.662%E +0.192%K +0.271%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 16:50
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.509%E -0.150%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.68%E -0.500%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.38%E -1.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-03 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.68%E -0.500%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.38%E -1.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-03 15:35
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -1.97%E -0.589%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.67%E -1.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-03 16:54
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.97%E -0.589%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.26%E -0.678%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 16:43
SportsBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -2.26%E -0.678%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 16:54
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.09%E -2.25%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 16:55
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 13:34
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 16:44
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 16:45
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 16:54
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 12:50
Dabble (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 16:54
DraftKings🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 16:45
Caesars🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.02%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 13:33
GTbets🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -4.61%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -2.38%E -1.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 16:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.61%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:00
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 16:59
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 16:59
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.38%E -1.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 13:29
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 12:20
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 12:20
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 12:20
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 16:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.38%E -1.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.38%E -1.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 16:35
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 07:25
888sport🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 07:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 07:30
NordicBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.12%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:30
Betsson🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.12%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -0.967%E -0.691%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.09%E -2.25%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.09%E -2.25%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:35
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 16:35
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 16:35
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:39
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91%1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09%-0.2%2026-04-03 17:00
Novig3.52I 28.41%NM 28.31%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.69%0.4%2026-04-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-03 16:55
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-03 16:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-03 16:55
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-03 11:10
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-04-03 15:30
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-04-03 16:55