Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-09-12 20:06 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 54.51%1.83odd justa
EV +0.847%
Vantagem +0.458%
Kelly +0.997%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.57%54.48%54.57%55.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.761.751.8559.17%56.90%56.98%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 45.49%2.20odd justa
EV -0.382%
Vantagem -0.174%
Kelly -0.321%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.47%45.52%45.43%48.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.082.092.1951.02%47.96%47.73%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 54.51%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 45.49%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.83. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.847%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV +0.847%E +0.458%K +0.997%G +0.008%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -10.39%E -5.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -0.243%E -0.133%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -10.84%E -5.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 20:00
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 20:05
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.75%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 19:40
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.75%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 18:00
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.382%E -0.174%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-12 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.29%E -0.595%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.29%E -0.595%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:55
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.29%E -0.595%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 18:35
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:00
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 19:10
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:40
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 17:59
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:04
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 20:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 17:40
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:01
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 20:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 18:55
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:57
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 17:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.93%E -2.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 19:50
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 19:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.11%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.87%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 55.17%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.83%-0.4%2026-09-12 20:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-12 19:25
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-12 20:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-09-12 20:05
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%2.4%2026-09-12 20:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-09-12 20:05
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-09-12 20:05