La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-04-20 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 4–9 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 41.54%2.41momio equitativo
EV -0.302%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.216%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%41.49%41.57%42.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.24%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 58.46%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.619%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.885%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%58.51%58.43%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.7064.52%61.41%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.302%E -0.126%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 22:15
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.302%E -0.126%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 19:49
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-20 22:35
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 22:15
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.79%E -1.06%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 22:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-20 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 22:45
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 19:49
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:14
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:14
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:15
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 21:29
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.79%E -1.06%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-20 22:45
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.79%E -1.06%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-20 22:45
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 20:15
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.619%E -0.364%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 19:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 19:49
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 19:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 19:49
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 20:19
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 19:50
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 21:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 20:09
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 20:14
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 19:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 19:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 19:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 13:19
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 20:55
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 20:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 22:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 22:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 19:48
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 22:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 22:35
MyBookie.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.87%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.96%E -1.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 19:55
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.87%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 19:49
Bovada2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 22:43
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 21:39
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 21:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 19:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 19:50
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 19:49
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 22:34
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 19:49
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 20:19
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 19:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-20 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-20 22:45
BetOpenly2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-20 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-20 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-20 22:45
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-20 16:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-20 22:20
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-04-20 22:45
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.3%2026-04-20 22:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.6%2026-04-20 22:45