مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-07-24 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 2–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.91%2.13السعر العادل
EV +1.80%
الأفضلية +0.831%
Kelly +1.54%
النمو +0.028%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.16%47.03%46.94%48.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.062.052.1751.55%48.63%48.78%46.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.09%1.88السعر العادل
EV -0.729%
الأفضلية -0.390%
Kelly -0.837%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.43%52.97%53.06%55.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.781.801.8759.52%56.10%55.56%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +1.80%E +0.831%K +1.54%G +0.028%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.05%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +1.80%E +0.831%K +1.54%G +0.028%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.05%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 22:45
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +1.80%E +0.831%K +1.54%G +0.028%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.05%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 22:45
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +1.80%E +0.831%K +1.54%G +0.028%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -8.69%E -5.05%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 22:45
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +1.33%E +0.617%K +1.15%G +0.015%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -9.22%E -5.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +1.33%E +0.617%K +1.15%G +0.015%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -9.22%E -5.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +1.33%E +0.617%K +1.15%G +0.015%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -9.22%E -5.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +1.33%E +0.617%K +1.15%G +0.015%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -9.22%E -5.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +1.33%E +0.617%K +1.15%G +0.015%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -9.22%E -5.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +1.33%E +0.617%K +1.15%G +0.015%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -9.22%E -5.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +0.864%E +0.402%K +0.752%G +0.006%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -9.75%E -5.74%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:45
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +0.864%E +0.402%K +0.752%G +0.006%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -9.75%E -5.74%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:45
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +0.864%E +0.402%K +0.752%G +0.006%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -9.75%E -5.74%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:45
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -0.543%E -0.256%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -10.82%E -6.44%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 22:45
Everygame2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.01%E -0.480%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 22:44
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.48%E -0.705%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.63%E -4.38%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 16:25
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.95%E -0.933%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 22:45
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.95%E -0.933%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 19:25
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.79%E -0.968%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 22:45
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 22:45
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.26%E -0.677%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 21:50
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 22:40
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 17:05
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 21:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 21:25
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 06:35
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 05:04
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 05:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 01:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 12:15
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 12:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 13:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 13:50
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 07:15
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 21:25
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.77%E -2.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 17:04
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 22:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 07:15
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 19:40
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 07:15
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 06:34
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 06:34
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.04%E -3.41%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.04%E -3.41%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.79%E -0.968%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 16:20
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 22:44
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 22:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.51%E -3.09%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 22:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.04%E -3.41%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 20:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -7.11%E -3.59%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -0.729%E -0.390%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 22:45
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.58%E -3.85%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 22:16
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.05%E -4.11%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 22:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 22:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 20:20
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:34
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:35
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.99%E -4.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 22:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-24 22:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-24 22:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-24 22:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-24 22:20
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-24 22:45
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-07-24 22:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-07-24 22:45
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.4%2026-07-24 22:44