Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-06-25 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 5–6 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 56.48%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.987%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%56.49%56.46%58.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.22%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 43.52%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.086%
Ventaja +0.037%
Kelly +0.066%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%43.51%43.54%45.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.45%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 56.48%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 43.52%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.298. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.300, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.086%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.086%E +0.037%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 19:29
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.72%E -0.987%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.65%E -0.732%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-25 20:59
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.72%E -0.987%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.65%E -0.732%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-25 20:30
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.28%E -1.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.65%E -0.732%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 19:36
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.28%E -1.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.65%E -0.732%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.85%E -1.66%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.09%E -0.929%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-25 19:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.09%E -0.929%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-25 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.929%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 20:50
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.28%E -1.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.72%E -0.987%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.72%E -0.987%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 19:38
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 21:50
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 19:30
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 21:09
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 19:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 21:19
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 20:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.50%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 19:30
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 19:28
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 19:29
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.57%E -2.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 22:49
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.18%E -3.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.85%E -1.66%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 22:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-25 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-25 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-25 21:50
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-06-25 23:00
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-25 22:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-25 20:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-25 19:30
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-06-25 23:00
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-06-25 22:00