L’École des cotes

Toronto Blue Jays v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-28 17:38 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 2–3 Texas Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 54.21%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.796%
Avantage -0.435%
Kelly -0.959%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%54.26%54.23%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.84%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.79%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.721%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%45.74%45.77%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.1550.00%47.82%47.62%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.796%E -0.435%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.30%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 17:29
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.34%E -0.735%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 17:19
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.01%E -0.939%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 17:30
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:29
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:29
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 17:29
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 17:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:10
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:59
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 16:18
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:49
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 15:39
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 15:39
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 15:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 15:39
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:09
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.30%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 15:38
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 16:09
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 16:09
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:39
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:19
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:09
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 08:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.01%E -0.939%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.01%E -0.939%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:29
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.01%E -0.939%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.38%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:29
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 16:00
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 17:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 16:09
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:29
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:29
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:29
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:29
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:30
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:29
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:59
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 16:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 15:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 15:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 18:19
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:30
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:29
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.96%E -3.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 15:40
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 17:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%-0.1%2026-06-28 17:30
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-28 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-28 17:30
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-28 16:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-28 17:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-28 17:19
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-28 17:30
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-06-28 17:30