Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-07-20 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 1–7 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 61.38%1.63momio equitativo
EV -0.568%
Ventaja -0.351%
Kelly -0.917%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%61.33%61.49%62.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.12%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 38.62%2.59momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.440%
Kelly -0.722%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.67%38.51%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.452.5643.48%40.72%40.82%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 61.38%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 38.62%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.62, con un valor esperado de -0.568%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -0.568%E -0.351%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -0.568%E -0.351%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 20:25
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.568%E -0.351%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.17%E -4.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 23:05
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.18%E -0.734%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.51%E -0.593%K -0.976%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 23:00
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.51%E -0.593%K -0.976%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.31%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 17:15
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -3.02%E -1.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.13%E -0.440%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-20 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.02%E -1.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.90%E -0.748%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-20 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.02%E -1.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.90%E -0.748%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-20 22:45
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.02%E -1.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-20 22:50
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.02%E -1.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-20 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.02%E -1.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.31%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.02%E -1.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.31%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:20
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:00
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 22:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.67%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 22:14
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.22%E -1.70%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 22:30
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.22%E -1.70%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:00
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.53%E -2.70%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:30
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.53%E -2.70%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.15%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.31%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.22%E -1.70%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.48%E -3.56%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.31%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 22:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 22:35
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.31%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.08%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.71%E -4.41%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -8.46%E -3.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.51%E -0.593%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 22:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-07-20 23:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-07-20 23:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-20 22:40
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-07-20 23:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-20 22:20
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-20 23:05