Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-08-30 17:38 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 7–0 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 44.20%2.26odd justa
EV +1.21%
Vantagem +0.531%
Kelly +0.942%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.89%44.19%44.30%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.152.2948.78%46.26%46.51%43.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 55.80%1.79odd justa
EV -0.674%
Vantagem -0.378%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%55.81%55.70%57.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.721.721.7859.88%58.20%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 44.20%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 55.80%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.26. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.29, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +1.21%E +0.531%K +0.942%G +0.011%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-30 17:25
Everygame🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.331%E +0.146%K +0.261%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.46%E -2.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.111%E -0.049%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -3.46%E -2.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.111%E -0.049%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.111%E -0.049%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 17:25
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.111%E -0.049%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 17:29
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.553%E -0.246%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.553%E -0.246%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 17:29
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -0.995%E -0.444%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 17:20
BetAnything🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.44%E -0.644%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 17:29
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.44%E -0.644%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:19
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.88%E -0.846%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 05:40
DraftKings🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%EV -2.32%E -1.05%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%EV -0.674%E -0.378%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-30 15:20
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.35%E -1.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.35%E -1.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 15:19
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 05:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:25
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.70%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:29
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.65%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.70%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.09%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.70%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.53%E -2.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.53%E -2.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.70%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:15
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.53%E -2.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.70%E -3.37%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:15
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 15:19
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.46%E -2.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:25
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 00:05
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:29
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 05:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.97%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:15
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:15
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.91%E -1.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:29
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.46%E -2.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:29
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.35%E -1.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 23:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.46%E -2.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.46%E -2.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.18%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.14%E -3.02%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.51%E -4.11%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 17:09
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.39%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-30 17:20
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-08-30 17:29
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-08-30 17:35
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-30 12:25
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-30 16:20
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-30 17:35
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%7.2%2026-08-30 17:30