مدرسة الاحتمالات

Toronto Blue Jays v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-05-23 19:08 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Toronto Blue Jays 5–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.48%2.30السعر العادل
EV +0.865%
الأفضلية +0.373%
Kelly +0.655%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%43.42%43.52%44.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.222.212.3246.51%44.98%45.15%43.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.52%1.77السعر العادل
EV -1.65%
الأفضلية -0.948%
Kelly -2.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.84%56.58%56.48%58.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.56%59.52%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV +0.865%E +0.373%K +0.655%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.20%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 19:00
theScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 19:00
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.874%E -0.383%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.31%E -0.577%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 18:56
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.31%E -0.577%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 18:50
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Everygame2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.05%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.05%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 18:39
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.05%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 18:39
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.05%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 18:48
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 18:38
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 19:00
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.34%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:39
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 19:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 19:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.43%E -5.20%K -13.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.79%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.34%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:39
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.47%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:50
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 19:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%0.1%2026-05-23 19:00
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-05-23 18:59
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-23 19:00
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-23 17:30
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-23 18:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-23 19:00