Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-06-09 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 3–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 50.19%1.99odd justa
EV -1.62%
Vantagem -0.826%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.18%50.07%51.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9654.64%52.26%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 49.81%2.01odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.700%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.82%49.82%49.93%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9854.64%52.42%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 50.19%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 49.81%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.98, com valor esperado de -1.39%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.62%E -0.826%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.38%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -1.62%E -0.826%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-09 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 21:19
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 22:20
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 22:38
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.86%E -4.84%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 21:39
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.39%E -0.700%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 21:10
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.39%E -0.700%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 21:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.87%E -3.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:50
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:50
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:49
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.37%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 13:19
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 20:59
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-09 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.38%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-09 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 19:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 18:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:09
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 20:49
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 12:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 18:29
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 18:30
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 12:59
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.38%E -1.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 21:09
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:29
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 20:59
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 20:59
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.63%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:09
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.63%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.63%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.64%E -3.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.64%E -3.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 13:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 22:37
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-06-09 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-06-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-06-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-06-09 22:59
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-06-09 22:59
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-09 22:59
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-09 16:00
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-09 20:19
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-09 22:20
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-09 22:20