مدرسة الاحتمالات

Toronto Blue Jays v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-06-10 23:08 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Toronto Blue Jays 4–7 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.96%2.22السعر العادل
EV -0.644%
الأفضلية -0.291%
Kelly -0.532%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.44%44.99%44.95%45.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.042.132.122.2149.02%46.96%47.17%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.04%1.82السعر العادل
EV -0.923%
الأفضلية -0.513%
Kelly -1.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.23%55.01%55.05%56.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.691.741.731.8059.17%57.59%57.80%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.644%E -0.291%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:50
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.09%E -0.497%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.57%E -1.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 22:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.09%E -0.497%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.57%E -1.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.09%E -0.497%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.98%E -4.13%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 20:50
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.54%E -0.705%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.99%E -0.914%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.02%E -1.14%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 21:40
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.99%E -0.914%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.57%E -1.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:49
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.99%E -0.914%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.57%E -1.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:50
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.923%E -0.513%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-10 22:50
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-10 22:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.57%E -1.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-10 22:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 20:09
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 22:20
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 22:39
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 21:49
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 22:49
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 13:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:30
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:28
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:49
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 22:39
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 21:50
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:39
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 16:20
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:20
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:49
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:50
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:50
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:49
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:49
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:50
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:50
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:39
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.57%E -1.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 13:30
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 13:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:20
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 22:30
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 21:30
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.43%E -3.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 16:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.04%E -2.89%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 20:18
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.49%E -3.12%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 16:19
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 20:39
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.29%E -4.06%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -6.98%E -4.13%K -10.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 22:37
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%-0.1%2026-06-10 22:59
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-06-10 22:50
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-10 23:00
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-10 21:00
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-10 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-06-10 20:10