La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-07-01 19:25 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 9–3 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 51.14%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.672%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.17%51.05%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.871.871.9356.18%53.54%53.48%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 48.86%2.05momio equitativo
EV -0.817%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.793%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%48.83%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.841.951.942.0354.35%51.38%51.41%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.30%E -0.672%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 19:20
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 19:06
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 19:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 19:06
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.817%E -0.403%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-01 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 19:20
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 19:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 19:20
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.31%E -0.646%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 19:07
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:20
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:20
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:20
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:20
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 19:20
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 19:20
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.817%E -0.403%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 19:08
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.817%E -0.403%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 19:08
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.817%E -0.403%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 19:19
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 19:20
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 19:20
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 19:06
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:06
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:18
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:20
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:06
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:06
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:20
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 19:06
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.37%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 19:20
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 19:20
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 19:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 19:20
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 19:20
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 19:20
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 19:07
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 19:06
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 19:06
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 19:06
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 19:06
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 19:06
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 19:19
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.15%E -4.33%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 19:20
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.24%E -2.16%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 19:06
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 19:06
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 19:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 19:17
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.95%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.10%E -5.49%K -12.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-01 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%0.1%2026-07-01 19:06
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-07-01 19:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-01 19:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-01 19:20
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-01 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-01 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-01 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-01 19:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-01 19:20
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-01 19:20