Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v New York Mets

Início: 2026-06-29 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 2–1 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 53.38%1.87odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.42%53.25%54.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.11%56.18%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 46.62%2.14odd justa
EV +0.235%
Vantagem +0.109%
Kelly +0.204%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.57%46.58%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.52%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 53.38%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.62%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.235%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.204%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 23:00
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.232%E -0.108%K -0.203%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-29 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.698%E -0.328%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 23:00
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.698%E -0.328%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.698%E -0.328%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.698%E -0.328%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 23:00
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.16%E -0.549%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-29 08:39
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.16%E -0.549%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -1.16%E -0.549%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 21:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 23:00
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:30
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:30
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.49%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 22:40
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.49%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 21:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 19:19
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 04:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 03:59
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 20:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 12:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 04:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 03:59
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 03:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 22:40
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 22:41
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 08:29
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 02:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 02:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 02:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 21:10
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.16%E -4.14%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 22:37
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 20:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-29 22:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-29 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-29 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-29 22:50
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-06-29 22:50
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-29 20:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-29 22:21
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-06-29 23:00
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-29 23:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-06-29 22:51