La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-05-27 17:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 2–1 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 58.17%1.72momio equitativo
EV -0.523%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.736%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.41%58.14%58.22%59.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.7162.50%60.45%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 41.83%2.39momio equitativo
EV -0.454%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.329%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%41.86%41.78%43.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.272.252.3845.45%44.08%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.10%E -0.650%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.10%E -0.650%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 15:40
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.69%E -0.998%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 15:10
theScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.29%E -0.547%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-27 15:20
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.71%E -0.727%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.71%E -0.727%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 15:20
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.454%E -0.191%K -0.329%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -0.872%E -0.368%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 17:00
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -0.872%E -0.368%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 17:00
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -0.872%E -0.368%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 16:49
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.71%E -0.727%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 15:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 11:29
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 15:19
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 16:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 15:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 15:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 15:20
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 16:49
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:58
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 16:20
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:40
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.22%E -1.84%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 15:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.64%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 15:40
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.05%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 15:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.47%E -2.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:09
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 12:59
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.22%E -1.84%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:20
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.05%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:20
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.05%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.71%E -0.727%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:29
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 15:09
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:20
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 00:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 14:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-05-27 16:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-27 17:00
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-27 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-27 15:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-27 12:50
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-27 07:40
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-05-27 16:50
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-27 15:50