La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-04-08 19:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 41.45%2.41momio equitativo
EV -0.530%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.378%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%41.55%41.43%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.43%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 58.55%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%58.45%58.57%60.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.631.631.6962.89%61.27%61.54%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.530%E -0.221%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 18:40
theScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.36%E -0.571%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.80%E -1.69%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:25
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.77%E -0.748%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 18:59
MyBookie.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.77%E -0.748%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 18:50
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.19%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.63%E -0.970%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-08 19:05
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.19%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:59
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.19%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.60%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 14:49
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.60%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:45
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.60%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:44
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.60%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:54
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.60%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:44
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-08 19:00
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.43%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.04%E -0.617%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 18:45
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.43%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 18:54
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.85%E -1.66%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 15:15
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.63%E -0.970%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 18:29
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 18:44
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 14:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 14:49
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 18:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 18:44
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 18:30
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:44
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:45
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 15:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:45
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:29
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:30
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:30
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:30
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:30
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:30
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:29
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:45
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 18:30
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 18:29
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 18:29
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.73%E -3.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 18:54
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.67%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 14:50
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.09%E -2.22%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 15:14
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.50%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:50
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 17:15
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 18:45
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.56%E -2.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 14:49
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.33%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 18:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 14:49
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 18:45
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 19:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:35
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.89%E -5.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.39%E -2.05%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 18:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-04-08 19:05
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-04-08 19:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-08 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-08 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-04-08 18:55
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-08 17:45
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-08 19:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-08 18:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-04-08 18:35