Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-05 23:08 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 3–13 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 56.85%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.67%56.86%56.85%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.671.7462.50%59.54%59.88%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.15%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.761%
Avantage -0.331%
Kelly -0.585%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%43.14%43.15%45.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.222.3048.78%45.13%45.05%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 56.85% ; Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur) : 43.15%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.32. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.30, pour une espérance de -0.761% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-05 22:00
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 21:59
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.65%E -0.951%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 22:20
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.06%E -0.905%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.06%E -0.905%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:19
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:20
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 22:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.62%E -0.712%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 21:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 21:59
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:50
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-05 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 22:30
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:49
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-05 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 22:19
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 22:59
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.06%E -0.905%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 21:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 12:20
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 22:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:39
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:19
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:49
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.62%E -0.712%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-05 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 22:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.761%E -0.331%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-05 22:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%0.4%2026-06-05 22:50
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-05 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-05 22:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-05 22:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-05 23:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-06-05 22:00
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-06-05 22:59