La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:28 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 60.70%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%60.58%60.71%62.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.561.551.6266.23%64.22%64.52%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 39.30%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%39.42%39.29%41.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.492.5045.45%40.83%40.16%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.67%E -1.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.67%E -1.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.65%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:25
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.27%E -1.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.14%E -0.861%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:11
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.27%E -1.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.14%E -0.861%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:11
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.27%E -1.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.61%E -4.18%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:25
theScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:25
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.65%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.61%E -4.18%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.49%E -2.19%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:25
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.86%E -2.89%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.86%E -2.89%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:25
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:24
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:24
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:22
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -2.14%E -0.861%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:25
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.61%E -4.18%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.54%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 23:25
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:24
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.34%E -5.53%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.34%E -5.53%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-03-27 23:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-03-27 23:22
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%2.2%2026-03-27 23:25