Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:28 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 60.70%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%60.58%60.71%62.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.561.551.6266.23%64.22%64.52%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 39.30%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%39.42%39.29%41.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.492.5045.45%40.83%40.16%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 60.70%; Athletics (Visitante): 39.30%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.62, con un valor esperado de -1.67%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.67%E -1.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.67%E -1.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.65%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.27%E -1.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.14%E -0.861%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:11
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.27%E -1.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.14%E -0.861%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:11
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.27%E -1.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.61%E -4.18%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:25
theScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:25
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.65%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.61%E -4.18%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.49%E -2.19%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.86%E -2.89%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.86%E -2.89%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:24
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:24
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:22
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -2.14%E -0.861%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:25
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.61%E -4.18%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:25
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.54%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 23:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.34%E -5.53%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.34%E -5.53%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-03-27 23:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-03-27 23:22
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%2.2%2026-03-27 23:25