Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Washington Nationals

2026-08-21 00:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 59.35%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.896%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%59.61%59.32%61.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.85%62.50%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 40.65%2.46momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.655%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.42%40.39%40.68%42.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.5045.45%41.84%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Texas Rangers (Local): 59.35%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 40.65%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.46. 12 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.64%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.64%E +0.655%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.1%2026-08-19 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.64%E +0.655%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.1%2026-08-19 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.64%E +0.655%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.1%2026-08-19 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.64%E +0.655%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.1%2026-08-19 23:20
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.823%E +0.332%K +0.556%G +0.005%4.4%2026-08-19 23:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.823%E +0.332%K +0.556%G +0.005%4.4%2026-08-19 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.823%E +0.332%K +0.556%G +0.005%4.4%2026-08-19 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.823%E +0.332%K +0.556%G +0.005%4.4%2026-08-19 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.823%E +0.332%K +0.556%G +0.005%4.4%2026-08-19 23:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.823%E +0.332%K +0.556%G +0.005%4.4%2026-08-19 23:20
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.417%E +0.169%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.5%2026-08-20 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.08%E -1.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.396%E -0.162%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-19 23:05
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.396%E -0.162%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.396%E -0.162%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.396%E -0.162%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.61%E -5.59%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.21%E -0.498%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -1.21%E -0.498%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -1.21%E -0.498%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 23:20
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.08%E -1.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.62%E -0.668%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.08%E -1.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.08%E -1.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.86%E -2.38%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-20 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.45%E -2.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.95%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:55
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.49%E -0.896%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 00:15
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.08%E -1.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.24%E -1.36%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -10.98%E -7.32%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.24%E -1.36%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 23:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.45%E -2.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.45%E -2.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.86%E -2.38%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.86%E -2.38%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 22:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.45%E -2.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -6.09%E -2.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 23:15
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.86%E -2.38%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 21:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:50
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.64%E -3.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 23:45
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-20 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.61%E -5.59%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 22:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-08-20 01:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-19 22:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-19 22:00
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-08-20 02:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-08-20 01:50
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%8.7%2026-08-20 00:00

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