Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-09-19 00:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 44.55%2.24momio equitativo
EV +2.47%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%44.47%44.62%45.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.102.3050.00%47.01%47.62%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 55.45%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.745%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.942%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.40%55.53%55.38%57.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.7961.73%57.94%57.80%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Texas Rangers (Local): 44.55%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 55.45%. Para Texas Rangers (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.24. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.30, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.47%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +2.47%E +1.07%K +1.90%G +0.047%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-18 02:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +1.13%E +0.497%K +0.889%G +0.010%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 02:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +1.13%E +0.497%K +0.889%G +0.010%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 02:25
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV +0.683%E +0.302%K +0.542%G +0.004%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-18 02:25
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.54%E -0.699%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 01:35
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.99%E -0.905%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:35
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 02:25
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.745%E -0.416%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-17 23:40
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:35
Caesars🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 02:34
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 01:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 02:15
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 01:54
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 02:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 01:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 02:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:29
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 01:55
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 01:50
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:29
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 02:29
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 01:55
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 01:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 23:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 23:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 23:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 01:50
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 01:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 02:30
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 02:24
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 02:28
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 02:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 01:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 02:24
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -10.01%E -4.95%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 01:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 02:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-09-18 02:25
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-18 01:30
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-18 02:25
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-09-18 02:35
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%5.6%2026-09-18 02:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%10.0%2026-09-18 02:25
Arbitraje (3 combinaciones) +0.66%GTbets 2.30 (43.8%) / 1xBet 1.79 (56.2%)Ver las 3 combinaciones
Texas Rangers (Local)Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)Margen
GTbets🎯 2.30 (43.8%)1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.2%)+0.660%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.27 (44.1%)1xBet🎯 1.79 (55.9%)+0.081%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.27 (44.1%)1xBet🎯 1.79 (55.9%)+0.081%