Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-06 18:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 50.51%1.98momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.768%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.51%50.53%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.881.881.9554.95%53.24%53.19%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 49.49%2.02momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%49.49%49.47%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.921.921.9754.05%52.05%52.08%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Texas Rangers (Local): 50.51%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 49.49%. Para Texas Rangers (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.98. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.95, con un valor esperado de -1.50%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.50%E -0.768%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.51%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 01:10
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.50%E -0.768%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 02:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.01%E -1.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:00
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.53%E -2.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:04
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.03%E -2.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:10
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:01
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.54%E -2.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.04%E -3.25%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.04%E -3.25%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.55%E -3.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.56%E -4.13%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.06%E -4.43%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.06%E -4.43%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.0%2026-09-06 02:25
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-06 02:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%9.9%2026-09-05 23:05