Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-09-05 23:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 50.08%2.00momio equitativo
EV +0.169%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.169%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.70%49.95%50.00%51.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.841.921.912.0054.35%52.16%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 49.92%2.00momio equitativo
EV -0.169%
Ventaja -0.085%
Kelly -0.169%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.85%50.05%50.00%52.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.901.912.0056.82%52.67%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Texas Rangers (Local): 50.08%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 49.92%. Para Texas Rangers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.997. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.000, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.169%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.169%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.33%E -0.677%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.33%E -0.677%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:03
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.169%E -0.085%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.668%E -0.336%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.67%E -0.846%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-05 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -12.15%E -6.90%K -15.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.169%E -0.085%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.169%E -0.085%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.169%E -0.085%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.169%E -0.085%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.16%E -1.63%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.16%E -1.63%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.84%E -4.26%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -7.84%E -4.26%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-09-05 23:04
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-09-05 23:05