Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-04 00:05 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 46.65%2.14momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.523%
Kelly -0.990%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.69%46.69%46.67%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.042.042.1251.81%49.06%49.02%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 53.35%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.31%53.33%54.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.791.801.8358.14%55.82%55.56%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Texas Rangers (Local): 46.65%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 53.35%. Para Texas Rangers (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.14. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.12, con un valor esperado de -1.11%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.11%E -0.523%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 04:30
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.11%E -0.523%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 03:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.58%E -0.747%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.58%E -0.747%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 04:30
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.58%E -0.747%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 04:30
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 03:20
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 01:49
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 05:04
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.04%E -0.972%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 00:39
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.97%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.97%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 02:30
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 04:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 02:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 00:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 04:10
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 04:45
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:30
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 03:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 03:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.10%E -3.47%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 19:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:10
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 03:00
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.31%E -2.61%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 03:00
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.31%E -2.61%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 03:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.90%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:05
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 03:00
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 00:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 04:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.77%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 02:08
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.43%E -1.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 02:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 03:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 01:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 02:09
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 02:09
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 02:09
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.50%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.57%E -4.37%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.57%E -4.37%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.23%E -4.79%K -11.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 05:09
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.97%E -5.17%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 02:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-09-03 04:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-03 00:45
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-09-03 05:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-09-03 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-09-03 05:30
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-09-03 05:15
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%9.4%2026-09-03 05:30
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.17%10.6%2026-09-03 00:45