Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-05 00:06 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 63.79%1.57odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.726%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%63.75%63.86%64.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.70%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 36.21%2.76odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.496%
Kelly +0.771%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.33%36.25%36.14%37.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.05%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Texas Rangers (Local): 63.79%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 36.21%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.76. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.39%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV +1.39%E +0.496%K +0.771%G +0.011%1.1%2026-08-04 19:15
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -0.060%E -0.022%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 19:30
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.422%E -0.153%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.04%E -2.00%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.784%E -0.286%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:49
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.04%E -2.00%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.784%E -0.286%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:49
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.04%E -2.00%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -1.15%E -0.420%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 18:50
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.87%E -0.690%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:40
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.87%E -0.690%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.23%E -0.827%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 18:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.23%E -0.827%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 23:59
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.23%E -0.827%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:55
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.13%E -0.726%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -3.32%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:44
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.32%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:29
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.32%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:24
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 23:54
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 23:55
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:54
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 23:25
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 23:04
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 03:20
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:24
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:54
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:24
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 03:20
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 03:20
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 03:20
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.77%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.77%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:05
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.13%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.13%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.14%E -5.65%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.13%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:19
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.04%E -2.00%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 03:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:24
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:09
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:04
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:55
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:04
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:05
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.95%E -3.32%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:34
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:54
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.04%E -2.00%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -6.22%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 00:04
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.22%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:40
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.94%E -2.70%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:10
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.94%E -2.70%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:54
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:54
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.95%E -3.32%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:54
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 00:04
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.50%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:59
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.50%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.66%E -3.01%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:58
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 23:45
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.14%E -5.65%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 00:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-08-05 00:04
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-08-05 00:05
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-04 06:45
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-08-05 00:05
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-05 00:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-04 23:55