Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-08-22 00:16 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 2–1 Los Angeles Angels

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 56.56%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.41%56.59%56.56%57.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.03%59.17%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 43.44%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.523%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.405%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.71%43.41%43.44%44.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.112.202.202.2947.39%45.48%45.45%43.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Texas Rangers (Local): 56.56%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 43.44%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.30. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.29, con un valor esperado de -0.523%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.02%E -0.583%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-21 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.02%E -0.583%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -3.13%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 00:09
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.59%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.83%E -0.808%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 20:58
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.59%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.59%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 20:09
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.59%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 19:58
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.59%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.13%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.59%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.00%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.39%E -0.613%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:10
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.523%E -0.228%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.83%E -0.808%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.83%E -0.808%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.13%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.13%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 23:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 20:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 00:04
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.83%E -0.808%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 23:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 05:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 13:59
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 23:15
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.74%E -2.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-21 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:49
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.74%E -2.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.74%E -2.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:54
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 00:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:54
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:54
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:54
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:53
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:54
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 00:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:09
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 00:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.74%E -2.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.74%E -2.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:54
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 00:08
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.34%E -3.95%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 23:47
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.24%E -4.42%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.81%E -4.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.91%E -3.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 23:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-08-22 00:14
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-21 21:59
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-22 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-22 00:04
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-22 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-22 00:15
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-08-22 00:15
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-22 00:00