Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-05-30 20:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 7–6 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 52.07%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.19%52.07%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.831.831.8957.14%54.54%54.64%52.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 47.93%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.613%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.81%47.93%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.002.002.0651.55%50.03%50.00%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Texas Rangers (Local): 52.07%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 47.93%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.09. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.06, con un valor esperado de -1.26%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.59%E -0.840%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.22%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-30 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.59%E -0.840%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.22%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-30 18:50
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.59%E -0.840%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.18%E -1.57%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 18:10
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.63%E -1.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.74%E -0.850%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.63%E -1.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.22%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.63%E -1.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.22%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 19:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.63%E -1.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.63%E -1.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 19:59
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.26%E -0.613%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 20:00
Everygame🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.26%E -0.613%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.18%E -1.57%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-30 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 20:00
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.10%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.67%E -1.98%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.10%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 17:08
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 17:09
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.10%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.10%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 17:10
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.10%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.10%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.10%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 20:00
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.71%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:39
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.23%E -2.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.23%E -2.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.23%E -2.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.23%E -2.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.62%E -2.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.23%E -2.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.62%E -2.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.23%E -2.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.23%E -2.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.27%E -3.49%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.74%E -0.850%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 17:39
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.49%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.49%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.49%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 00:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.49%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 17:58
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.27%E -3.49%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.27%E -3.49%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.01%E -3.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.88%E -5.07%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.74%E -0.850%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-05-30 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%0.2%2026-05-30 20:00
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-05-30 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-05-30 20:00
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-30 17:00
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-30 20:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-05-30 20:00