L’École des cotes

Texas Rangers v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 00:06 UTC

Score final : Texas Rangers 3–4 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prévision 56.85%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%56.83%56.75%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.671.671.7461.73%59.70%59.88%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.15%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.759%
Avantage -0.330%
Kelly -0.584%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%43.17%43.25%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.242.3047.62%44.85%44.64%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-27 21:59
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 21:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.08%E -0.619%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 22:00
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.65%E -0.952%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.05%E -0.905%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-28 00:00
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.65%E -0.952%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.19%E -0.520%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-27 23:59
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 16:00
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 15:58
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:00
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 21:30
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 14:50
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 23:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 14:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 22:00
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.759%E -0.330%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 22:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:50
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 21:38
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:29
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:40
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.51%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 23:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 21:29
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 14:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 21:30
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 14:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:00
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:20
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.62%E -0.712%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.62%E -0.712%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 21:29
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.759%E -0.330%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 21:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:50
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 23:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 21:29
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.05%E -0.905%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:39
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.05%E -0.905%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 21:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-05-28 00:00
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-27 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-27 23:50
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-27 23:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-27 14:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-27 23:50
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-05-27 23:50
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-05-27 23:49