Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-04-03 20:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 60.15%1.66odd justa
EV -0.143%
Vantagem -0.086%
Kelly -0.217%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.11%60.19%60.15%61.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.581.571.6665.36%63.35%63.69%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 39.85%2.51odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.477%
Kelly -0.800%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.75%39.81%39.85%40.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.422.422.4843.48%41.41%41.32%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Texas Rangers (Local): 60.15%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 39.85%. Para Texas Rangers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.662. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.660, com valor esperado de -0.143%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -0.143%E -0.086%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 19:50
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 20:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 20:00
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 19:34
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 18:35
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.77%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 18:05
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 06:25
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 16:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 11:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 16:43
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 19:45
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 17:45
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 13:40
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 13:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 12:15
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:05
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 19:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 06:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 06:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 07:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 16:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 19:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 01:09
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 17:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 60.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.81%-1.1%2026-04-03 20:00
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-04-03 20:00
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%0.8%2026-04-03 19:58
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-03 20:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-03 19:15
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-03 20:00
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-04-03 20:00