La escuela de los momios

Texas Rangers v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-07-21 00:08 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 3–10 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 60.09%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.855%
Ventaja -0.518%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.79%60.15%60.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.81%62.89%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 39.91%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.219%
Ventaja -0.088%
Kelly -0.146%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%40.21%39.85%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.392.402.5044.84%41.82%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.855%E -0.518%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.46%E -0.888%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.00%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.46%E -0.888%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 00:05
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.06%E -1.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.82%E -0.738%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 20:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 17:25
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 04:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 00:05
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 00:05
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.219%E -0.088%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 00:00
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.02%E -0.410%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-20 22:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.42%E -0.573%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-20 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.42%E -0.573%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-20 22:35
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 22:35
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.61%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:50
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.02%E -0.410%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.02%E -0.410%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-20 22:20
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.41%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 04:50
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 11:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 17:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 00:05
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 22:43
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:50
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 22:45
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:53
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 09:25
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 23:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 18:55
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 15:34
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 16:59
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:45
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-20 23:38
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 00:00
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 16:10
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 16:09
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:54
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 22:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 12:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 22:20
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 04:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 22:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 22:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 20:39
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.47%E -4.85%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 22:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.07%E -5.27%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 21:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-20 23:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-07-21 00:05
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-21 00:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-21 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-21 00:05
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-21 00:05
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-21 00:05
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%2.5%2026-07-20 23:55
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-07-21 00:05