Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-07-21 00:08 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 3–10 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 60.09%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.855%
Ventaja -0.518%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.79%60.15%60.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.81%62.89%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 39.91%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.219%
Ventaja -0.088%
Kelly -0.146%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%40.21%39.85%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.392.402.5044.84%41.82%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Texas Rangers (Local): 60.09%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 39.91%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.219%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.855%E -0.518%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.46%E -0.888%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.00%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.46%E -0.888%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 00:05
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.06%E -1.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.82%E -0.738%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 20:10
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 04:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 00:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.219%E -0.088%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 00:00
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.02%E -0.410%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-20 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.42%E -0.573%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-20 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.42%E -0.573%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-20 22:35
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-20 22:35
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.61%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.02%E -0.410%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.02%E -0.410%K -0.687%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-20 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.41%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 04:50
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 11:05
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 22:43
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 22:45
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 23:53
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 09:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 15:34
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 16:59
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -4.46%E -2.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-20 23:38
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:54
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.21%E -0.904%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 12:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 04:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 22:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 20:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.47%E -4.85%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.07%E -5.27%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 21:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-20 23:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-07-21 00:05
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-21 00:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-21 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-21 00:05
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-21 00:05
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-21 00:05
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%2.5%2026-07-20 23:55
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-07-21 00:05