A Escola das Odds

Texas Rangers v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-05-09 23:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 6–0 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 45.59%2.19odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.490%
Kelly -0.908%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.01%45.59%45.65%46.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.1750.00%47.48%47.62%46.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 54.41%1.84odd justa
EV +0.652%
Vantagem +0.353%
Kelly +0.767%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.02%54.41%54.35%55.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.751.751.8559.17%57.06%57.14%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.71%E -2.25%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.652%E +0.353%K +0.767%G +0.005%1.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 22:39
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.06%E -0.490%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 22:34
Everygame2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.06%E -0.490%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-09 22:34
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.52%E -0.703%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 22:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 22:34
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 22:35
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.90%E -3.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 21:59
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:43
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:19
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:54
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 20:39
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:14
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.52%E -0.703%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 22:14
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:29
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:14
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 23:04
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 23:04
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:50
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:29
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:44
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:50
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.17%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 22:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.81%E -4.41%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 22:29
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 23:04
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:39
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:14
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:15
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 22:14
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 22:54
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:04
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.99%E -3.43%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.81%E -4.41%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 23:04
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 22:14
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 22:14
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 22:14
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 22:14
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:44
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:19
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.05%E -4.76%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 22:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.21I 45.25%NM 45.30%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.70%-0.1%2026-05-09 23:04
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-09 23:04
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-09 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-09 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-09 22:54
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-05-09 23:04
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-09 22:54
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-09 20:14
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-09 22:50