Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v Baltimore Orioles

2026-08-08 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 57.03%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.759%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.01%57.07%57.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.671.681.7462.11%59.71%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 42.97%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.109%
Ventaja +0.047%
Kelly +0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.04%42.99%42.93%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.232.3347.62%45.04%44.84%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Texas Rangers (Local): 57.03%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 42.97%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.327. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.330, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.109%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.109%E +0.047%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.751%E -0.325%K -0.573%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.751%E -0.325%K -0.573%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.18%E -0.513%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.18%E -0.513%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 00:15
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.18%E -0.513%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.33%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:20
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.759%E -0.436%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.33%E -0.769%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.76%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:10
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.19%E -1.88%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.62%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.62%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:11
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.75%E -2.85%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.32%E -3.21%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.48%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.32%E -3.21%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.91%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:49
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.18%E -2.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.89%E -3.57%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.34%E -2.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.77%E -3.12%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:19
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.04%E -1.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:50
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.61%E -2.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.62%E -3.55%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -8.17%E -5.08%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.05%E -3.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 00:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.60%E -4.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-08 02:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-08 00:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-07 21:15
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-08-08 02:50
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%2.8%2026-08-07 23:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%7.6%2026-08-08 02:50