Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Texas Rangers

2026-07-29 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 55.44%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%55.62%55.28%57.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.49%58.31%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 44.56%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.253%
Ventaja +0.112%
Kelly +0.202%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.67%44.38%44.72%45.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.24%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.253%E +0.112%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.0%2026-07-29 00:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.253%E +0.112%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.0%2026-07-29 00:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.253%E +0.112%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.0%2026-07-29 00:39
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.253%E +0.112%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.0%2026-07-29 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:39
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:39
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:39
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:40
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:39
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:39
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 00:39
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 00:39
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.08%E -0.488%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 23:34
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.53%E -0.692%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 01:38
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.87%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.97%E -0.898%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 23:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.97%E -0.898%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 19:19
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.97%E -0.898%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.87%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 22:59
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.87%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 23:00
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.87%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 00:24
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 23:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 23:29
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -10.18%E -6.29%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 00:39
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 01:39
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 20:24
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 01:34
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 23:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 23:29
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 01:54
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 01:34
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:29
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 01:33
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 01:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:04
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.99%E -2.84%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 01:33
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 23:24
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:39
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:33
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:39
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:39
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 01:35
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 01:34
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 01:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-28 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-29 01:50
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-29 01:55
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-07-29 02:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-07-29 01:34
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%8.8%2026-07-29 01:59