Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-07-30 16:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–2 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 61.85%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.37%61.60%62.03%63.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.541.6067.57%64.78%64.94%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 38.15%2.62momio equitativo
EV +0.706%
Ventaja +0.267%
Kelly +0.430%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%38.40%37.97%40.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.6444.44%40.11%40.00%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 61.85%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 38.15%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.62. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.64, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.706%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV +0.706%E +0.267%K +0.430%G +0.003%2.4%2026-07-30 16:10
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -0.057%E -0.022%K -0.035%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-30 16:09
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.60%E -4.37%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.057%E -0.022%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.820%E -0.315%K -0.513%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.820%E -0.315%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.820%E -0.315%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89%EV -1.20%E -0.464%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.20%E -0.464%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 16:09
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.58%E -0.614%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-30 15:04
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.96%E -0.764%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 15:30
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-30 16:04
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 16:07
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 16:09
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 16:09
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 16:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.03%E -0.646%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-30 15:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 15:14
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.98%E -3.94%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.87%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 15:39
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -4.25%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 15:09
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 16:09
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 16:09
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 15:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 15:59
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.98%E -3.94%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 16:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.98%E -3.94%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 16:09
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 16:05
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 16:09
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.46%E -5.71%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-30 16:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.07%E -3.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.03%E -0.646%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 16:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.36%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.03%E -0.646%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.27%E -1.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 16:09
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.89%E -1.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 16:09
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.13%E -2.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 15:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-30 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.22%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.78%-0.2%2026-07-30 16:09
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-30 15:23
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-07-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-07-30 16:10
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-30 16:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-30 16:10
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-07-30 16:10
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-07-30 16:00
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-07-30 16:05