Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Texas Rangers

2026-07-30 16:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 54.72%1.83momio equitativo
EV +0.146%
Ventaja +0.080%
Kelly +0.176%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.72%54.83%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.751.751.8360.61%57.30%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 45.28%2.21momio equitativo
EV +0.512%
Ventaja +0.230%
Kelly +0.419%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%45.28%45.17%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2250.00%47.56%47.62%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +0.512%E +0.230%K +0.419%G +0.002%4.2%2026-07-30 02:50
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV +0.059%E +0.027%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 02:50
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.394%E -0.179%K -0.328%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-30 02:30
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.70%E -5.88%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.394%E -0.179%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 02:49
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.30%E -0.596%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 02:30
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.30%E -0.596%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 02:30
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -9.16%E -5.52%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -1.30%E -0.596%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 02:50
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.75%E -0.807%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 01:40
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 02:45
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 02:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 02:29
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 02:50
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 02:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.89%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 02:50
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.47%E -2.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 02:35
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.146%E +0.080%K +0.176%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 22:49
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 02:40
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 02:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 02:24
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 02:39
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 01:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 01:29
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 01:25
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:50
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:45
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:48
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 02:50
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 02:49
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 02:50
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.37%E -2.57%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 02:48
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:39
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:39
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:40
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:40
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:40
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.28%E -3.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:30
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.28%E -3.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:35
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.28%E -3.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:39
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.28%E -3.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:40
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.28%E -3.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:35
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:34
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 01:29
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.19%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 02:49
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.64%E -3.74%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 22:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.50%E -0.831%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 18:50
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 02:40
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 02:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-30 02:35
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-30 02:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 01:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 02:50
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-30 02:50
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-07-30 02:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%7.3%2026-07-30 02:50
Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.31%1xBet 1.83 (54.8%) / FanDuel 2.22 (45.2%)Ver las 2 combinaciones
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)Texas Rangers (Visitante)Margen
1xBet 1.83 (54.8%)FanDuel 2.22 (45.2%)+0.311%
1xBet 1.83 (54.7%)Bovada 2.21 (45.3%)+0.106%