L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 22:11 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 5–1 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 48.98%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.528%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%49.00%48.95%50.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.891.951.952.0252.91%51.17%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.02%1.96cote équitable
EV +0.516%
Avantage +0.262%
Kelly +0.532%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.74%51.00%51.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.851.851.9756.82%54.06%54.05%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV +0.516%E +0.262%K +0.532%G +0.003%2.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.56%E -0.774%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 22:10
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 22:10
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 22:08
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 22:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 22:00
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 21:44
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 22:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 21:50
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 16:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:09
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:09
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:05
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:10
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 21:40
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 21:48
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.59%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:40
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 21:40
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 22:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.07%E -0.528%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 19:30
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:00
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 22:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 21:45
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.47%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 22:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 22:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 22:00
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.12%E -3.32%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 19:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 19:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 22:09
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 19:45
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 22:10
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 19:30
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 22:09
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 19:30
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 22:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 22:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.14%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 22:10
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 21:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 22:10
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 22:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.16%E -4.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.67%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 22:10
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -8.67%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 22:10
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -8.67%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 22:10
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -5.47%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -9.69%E -5.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.20%E -5.79%K -13.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-05-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-05-02 22:10
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%0.3%2026-05-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-05-02 22:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-02 22:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-02 22:10
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%1.6%2026-05-02 22:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-02 21:50
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-02 22:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-05-02 21:50