Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-08-30 17:40 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 5–4 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 59.45%1.68odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.789%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.37%59.50%59.46%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.611.6665.36%62.19%62.11%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 40.55%2.47odd justa
EV -0.659%
Vantagem -0.269%
Kelly -0.454%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.50%40.54%42.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.372.382.4545.87%42.26%42.11%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 59.45%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 40.55%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.47. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.45, com valor esperado de -0.659%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.31%E -0.789%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.659%E -0.269%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-30 17:39
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.47%E -0.605%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-30 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.87%E -0.775%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.87%E -0.775%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 17:25
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.06%E -0.436%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 17:25
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.47%E -0.605%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.87%E -0.775%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.87%E -0.775%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:29
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:39
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.659%E -0.269%K -0.454%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-30 14:38
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.47%E -0.605%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 17:25
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:39
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:39
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.61%E -5.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 17:37
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 17:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 16:49
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.90%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 16:34
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.52%E -2.37%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:20
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.52%E -2.37%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:20
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:29
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.90%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:39
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.07%E -3.84%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.07%E -3.84%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.50%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -8.36%E -3.70%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.85%E -5.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 05:10
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.04%E -5.91%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 16:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-30 17:00
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-30 17:25
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-30 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-30 16:15
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-30 14:55
BetOpenly◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%2.1%2026-08-30 17:39
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%7.2%2026-08-30 17:35