La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-25 16:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 13–2 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 56.90%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.987%
Ventaja -0.568%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.94%56.85%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.671.671.7463.29%59.97%59.88%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 43.10%2.32momio equitativo
EV +0.414%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.311%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%43.06%43.15%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.242.3347.62%44.72%44.64%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.414%E +0.178%K +0.311%G +0.001%2.1%2026-06-25 15:49
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-25 16:00
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.69%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-25 15:50
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-25 16:09
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.54%E -3.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 16:09
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:09
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:10
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:10
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:09
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.879%E -0.382%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.74%E -0.763%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.74%E -0.763%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.74%E -0.763%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:00
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.74%E -0.763%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:00
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.17%E -0.957%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-25 16:00
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.69%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.17%E -0.957%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.69%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.17%E -0.957%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 15:50
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 16:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.95%E -5.60%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 16:10
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.95%E -5.60%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 16:09
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.987%E -0.568%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.46%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 14:30
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 15:39
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 16:09
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.54%E -3.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 15:59
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 15:40
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 16:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 15:39
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 16:00
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 16:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 15:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 14:10
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 08:50
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 14:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 14:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:39
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.82%E -4.82%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 15:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.05%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 15:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.05%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 15:50
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.48%E -2.99%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 14:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.34%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 14:59
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.34%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:30
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.83%E -2.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.34%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -10.09%E -6.39%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.34%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.21%E -3.85%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-25 15:49
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.69%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.50%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 16:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 57.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 42.45%-1.8%2026-06-25 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-06-25 16:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-25 16:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-25 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-06-25 15:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-25 15:50
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-25 16:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-06-25 16:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-06-25 16:10