La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-24 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 5–3 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 57.81%1.73momio equitativo
EV +1.16%
Ventaja +0.663%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.70%57.11%57.78%59.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.651.7563.69%59.95%60.61%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 42.19%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.423%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.306%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%42.89%42.22%47.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.212.252.3851.28%45.22%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -12.66%E -6.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -12.66%E -6.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -12.66%E -6.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 22:40
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -12.66%E -6.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -12.66%E -6.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 22:40
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -12.66%E -6.11%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.61%E -7.81%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV +1.16%E +0.663%K +1.55%G +0.018%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -17.72%E -9.09%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-24 22:40
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV +0.582%E +0.334%K +0.786%G +0.005%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -13.08%E -6.35%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.574%E -0.334%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -0.574%E -0.334%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -13.92%E -6.83%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -0.574%E -0.334%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -13.92%E -6.83%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.15%E -0.674%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 22:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.15%E -0.674%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.50%E -6.59%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 22:40
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -1.15%E -0.674%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -14.77%E -7.31%K -14.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 22:40
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 19:10
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -14.77%E -7.31%K -14.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -15.61%E -7.81%K -15.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-24 22:40
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.421%E -0.179%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-24 22:39
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.27%E -0.541%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 22:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.11%E -0.909%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 22:39
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-24 22:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-24 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 22:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 19:59
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-24 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -15.61%E -7.81%K -15.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-24 22:40
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.423%E +0.178%K +0.306%G +0.001%2.6%2026-06-24 22:40
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 22:39
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:39
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:29
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:39
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:39
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 19:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.91%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.91%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:39
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 22:35
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:39
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:39
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 22:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:30
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:30
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:39
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:40
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.02%E -3.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.35%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:39
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.35%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.35%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:30
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.35%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.35%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.27%E -0.541%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 22:39
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.35%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 22:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.35%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 22:29
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.59%E -3.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 22:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.50%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.50%-0.0%2026-06-24 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-24 22:30
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-24 20:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-24 21:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-24 22:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-06-24 22:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%6.2%2026-06-24 22:40