Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-22 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–2 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 62.64%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.95%62.56%62.65%64.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.93%65.57%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 37.36%2.68momio equitativo
EV -0.240%
Ventaja -0.090%
Kelly -0.143%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.38%37.44%37.35%39.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.572.6741.67%38.95%38.91%37.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 62.64%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 37.36%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.67, con un valor esperado de -0.240%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.66%E -1.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 18:49
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.29%E -1.47%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.36%E -0.515%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.29%E -1.47%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.36%E -0.515%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.29%E -1.47%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.29%E -1.47%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.91%E -1.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 13:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.240%E -0.090%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-22 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.240%E -0.090%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-22 22:30
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.987%E -0.372%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-22 22:29
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.987%E -0.372%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-22 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-22 22:30
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.11%E -0.804%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-22 22:39
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.10%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.34%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 13:10
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.34%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 04:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 22:18
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 11:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 04:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 04:09
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 04:09
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 04:09
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:10
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:19
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 10:20
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.79%E -3.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.47%E -2.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.42%E -3.59%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.59%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.42%E -3.59%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.86%E -1.10%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 07:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 07:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 07:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.33%E -4.30%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.67%E -4.48%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.67%E -4.48%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.67%E -4.48%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:29
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.80%E -6.81%K -22.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -1.73%E -0.659%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 22:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-22 22:39
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-22 22:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-22 19:39
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-22 13:50
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-06-22 22:40
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-06-22 22:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-06-22 22:40