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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-09-13 17:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 14–4 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 54.71%1.83momio equitativo
EV -0.976%
Ventaja -0.539%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.88%54.83%54.67%56.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8161.73%57.92%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 45.29%2.21momio equitativo
EV +0.093%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.077%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.30%45.17%45.33%47.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2150.00%47.51%47.62%45.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 54.71%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 45.29%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.208. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.210, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.093%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.71%E -2.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +0.093%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.360%E -0.164%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:40
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.09%E -4.81%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.360%E -0.164%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.27%E -0.581%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:40
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.27%E -0.581%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.72%E -0.792%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.09%E -4.81%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.09%E -4.81%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:40
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.09%E -4.81%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.09%E -4.81%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.09%E -4.81%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -0.976%E -0.539%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -3.08%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 15:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.08%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.08%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.53%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.53%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.07%E -1.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.53%E -1.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-13 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -3.98%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.18%E -5.53%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.98%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.18%E -5.53%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.98%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.18%E -5.53%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.98%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.18%E -5.53%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.98%E -1.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 14:19
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 14:30
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.26%E -2.43%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.26%E -2.43%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.26%E -2.43%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -10.82%E -6.64%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.71%E -2.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.25%E -3.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.71%E -2.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.25%E -3.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.51%E -4.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.52%E -0.846%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.51%E -4.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.51%E -4.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:11
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.26%E -2.43%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 17:15
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-13 17:40
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 17:40
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-13 17:40
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-09-13 17:35
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%10.9%2026-09-13 17:40
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%12.2%2026-09-13 17:40