A Escola das Odds

Tampa Bay Rays v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-04-06 20:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 52.85%1.89odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.95%52.81%52.88%53.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.771.801.801.8556.50%55.46%55.56%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 47.15%2.12odd justa
EV -0.990%
Vantagem -0.472%
Kelly -0.900%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%47.19%47.12%48.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.032.022.1051.28%49.37%49.50%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.22%E -1.20%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.46%E -0.699%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-06 16:49
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.22%E -1.20%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.46%E -0.699%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-06 20:05
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.22%E -1.20%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 19:15
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 20:10
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.990%E -0.472%K -0.900%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.46%E -0.699%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 20:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.46%E -0.699%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 20:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.46%E -0.699%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 20:09
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 19:45
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 12:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 12:39
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.65%E -3.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 19:05
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.65%E -3.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 19:09
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 19:04
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 12:39
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 12:39
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.65%E -3.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 20:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.34%E -2.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 19:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 19:59
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 19:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 17:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 19:24
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 20:08
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 17:14
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 19:55
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 20:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 20:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 15:29
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 17:15
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.59%E -3.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 20:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.87%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:45
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 19:00
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:00
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 20:00
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 19:59
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 19:59
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 19:59
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 20:00
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 19:59
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 20:00
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 20:00
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 20:00
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 20:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-04-06 20:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-06 19:25
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.0%2026-04-06 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-06 20:10
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-04-06 20:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-04-06 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-06 19:00
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-04-06 20:10