Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-09-19 20:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 57.36%1.74odd justa
EV -0.185%
Vantagem -0.107%
Kelly -0.251%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.88%57.31%57.36%58.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.681.671.7463.29%59.56%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 42.64%2.35odd justa
EV -0.233%
Vantagem -0.100%
Kelly -0.174%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%42.69%42.64%45.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.212.222.3449.02%45.24%45.05%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 57.36%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 42.64%. Para Tampa Bay Rays (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.743. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.740, com valor esperado de -0.185%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.185%E -0.107%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 20:04
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -0.759%E -0.439%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.94%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 19:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.37%E -1.03%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.32%E -5.44%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.32%E -5.44%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:04
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.05%E -1.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.94%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.05%E -1.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.35%E -2.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 17:19
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.233%E -0.100%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.09%E -0.468%K -0.823%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.09%E -0.468%K -0.823%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 19:04
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.94%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.64%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 18:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 17:19
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.50%E -2.01%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 19:28
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 17:18
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 17:19
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.94%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.94%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.22%E -1.42%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:14
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.64%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:23
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 17:24
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 17:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 17:19
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 17:19
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.35%E -2.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 18:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:09
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:18
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -13.02%E -6.38%K -12.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.77%E -2.88%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.77%E -2.88%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.92%E -2.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.77%E -2.88%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.35%E -2.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:18
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.77%E -2.88%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.35%E -2.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.77%E -2.88%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.35%E -2.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.94%E -0.843%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 16:39
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:06
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 20:04
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.92%E -3.61%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.92%E -3.61%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 17:19
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.07%E -4.36%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.07%E -4.36%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.07%E -4.36%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.91%E -3.66%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 19:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.36%E -5.93%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.47%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 19:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-19 20:09
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-19 20:09
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-09-19 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-19 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-19 19:54
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-19 20:09
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-19 14:01
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-09-19 19:24
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-09-19 20:09
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-09-19 20:10