La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-10 17:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 7–5 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 59.40%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.201%
Ventaja -0.120%
Kelly -0.296%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.79%59.46%59.36%60.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.611.6864.52%62.22%62.11%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 40.60%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.540%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.372%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.54%40.64%42.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.352.4544.44%42.69%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -0.201%E -0.120%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-10 16:29
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.39%E -0.837%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.98%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 17:09
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.76%E -0.726%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-10 16:40
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.16%E -0.898%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 17:09
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.98%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.98%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 17:10
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.35%E -0.556%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 16:54
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 16:30
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.540%E -0.220%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 17:00
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.946%E -0.388%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-10 16:59
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.76%E -0.726%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-10 17:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.57%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 17:10
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 15:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 17:00
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:29
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:30
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:30
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:28
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.57%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 17:00
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.57%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 16:55
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.98%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 17:09
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.79%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.79%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 17:10
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 15:49
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 17:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 17:10
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 16:30
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 16:30
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.38%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 16:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.38%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 17:00
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:00
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 15:50
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 17:10
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 17:10
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.16%E -0.898%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 17:00
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 17:00
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 16:50
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 17:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.38%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 17:09
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 17:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 15:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 16:59
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -7.04%E -3.07%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 17:10
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -7.85%E -3.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.44%E -3.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:58
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.57%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-06-10 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-06-10 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-06-10 17:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-10 13:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-10 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-06-10 17:10
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-06-10 17:10
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%2.6%2026-06-10 17:10
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-06-10 17:10
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-06-10 17:10