L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 17:11 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 5–3 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 51.90%1.93cote équitable
EV -0.347%
Avantage -0.181%
Kelly -0.377%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.95%51.85%54.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.831.831.9257.47%54.52%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.10%2.08cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.91%48.05%48.15%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.981.982.0554.64%50.53%50.51%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -0.347%E -0.181%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -3.32%E -1.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-20 17:09
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.866%E -0.453%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.32%E -1.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 16:50
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.866%E -0.453%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.866%E -0.453%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.866%E -0.453%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.866%E -0.453%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:09
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.36%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 17:00
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:10
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.42%E -1.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.88%E -0.922%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 17:09
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.94%E -1.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 16:54
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.94%E -1.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 17:00
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.94%E -1.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 17:07
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.94%E -1.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.46%E -1.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 17:09
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.46%E -1.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:09
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.46%E -1.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 16:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 16:50
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.25%E -2.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 17:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.25%E -2.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 17:07
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:08
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 16:50
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.50%E -2.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:09
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.40%E -0.683%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 16:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 14:09
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 14:19
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 14:38
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:09
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:09
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.13%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 17:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.54%E -3.04%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.54%E -3.04%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.06%E -3.35%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 17:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 14:09
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 14:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.25%E -2.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 14:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.58%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.61%E -4.28%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 17:09
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.61%E -4.28%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 17:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.61%E -4.28%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 17:10
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.61%E -4.28%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 17:10
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.61%E -4.28%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 17:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.13%E -4.59%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.40%E -0.683%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.13%E -4.59%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.40%E -0.683%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 16:20
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.13%E -4.59%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.40%E -0.683%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 16:19
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.13%E -4.59%K -10.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.21%E -3.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 17:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.65%E -4.92%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -1.40%E -0.683%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.69%E -5.57%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.40%E -0.683%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-20 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-20 17:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-20 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-20 17:10
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 51.39%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.61%1.3%2026-05-20 17:09
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-05-20 17:00
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%2.2%2026-05-20 17:10
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-05-20 17:10
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%4.0%2026-05-20 17:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%5.0%2026-05-20 17:10